6 Oct · 01:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1406
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sulava
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1400
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sulava
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H48-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.