6 Oct · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1461
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Necas
MN
🇨🇿Miroslav Necas
ELO 1463
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Necas stays under total as favourite 82% (22)
Fair odds · Necas
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.