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04 Oct · 17:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
VCVladimir Cermak
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1626
3-1Final setsCermak won
JSJakub Stolfa
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1625
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cermak at 50%. The actual result was Vladimir Cermak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cermak favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 74.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Cermak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Cermak −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Vladimir Cermak is favoured to win, below means Jakub Stolfa.

▲ Vladimir Cermakpre 46% → final 100%
Jakub Stolfa ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsCermak recovered from 26%72 points · 4 games