6 Oct · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1506
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kowolowski
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1457
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.