5 Oct · 15:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IP
🇨🇿Ivo Palmi
ELO 1378
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Palmi
IK
🇨🇿Ivan Kolenciak
ELO 1344
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Palmi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.63· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H9-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.