5 Oct · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1548
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Klement
AB
🇨🇿Adam Brazda
ELO 1516
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brazda🌟Brazda covers set handicap as underdog 69% (83)
Fair odds · Klement
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H11-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.