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DeuceLab
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06 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMilan Smesny
🇨🇿Milan Smesny
ELO 1374
2-3Final setsNovotny won
LNLadislav Novotny
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1375
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smesny at 51%. The actual result was Ladislav Novotny 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Milan Smesny favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 74.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Milan Smesny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Milan Smesny −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milan Smesny is favoured to win, below means Ladislav Novotny.

▲ Milan Smesnypre 55% → final 100%
Ladislav Novotny ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsSmesny recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games