6 Oct · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Lubos Mikyska
ELO 1491
FormL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mikyska
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sudek
ELO 1406
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Mikyska
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+85
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.