7 Oct · 04:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1388
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mazanek
SM
🇨🇿Stanislav Mazanek
ELO 1396
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mazanek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H16-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.