7 Oct · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1325
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Novotny
LN
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1375
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Novotny stays under total as favourite 62% (80)
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.