7 Oct · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1300
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Novotny
LN
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1375
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Novotny stays under total as favourite 62% (80)
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.