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06 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MWMark Robin Wagner
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1631
3-1Final setsWagner won
RRRadek Rose
🇨🇿Radek Rose
ELO 1618
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rose at 51%. The actual result was Mark Robin Wagner 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wagner favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 75.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wagner −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wagner −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mark Robin Wagner is favoured to win, below means Radek Rose.

▲ Mark Robin Wagnerpre 53% → final 100%
Radek Rose ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsWagner recovered from 41%72 points · 4 games