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07 Oct · 03:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMark Robin Wagner
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1631
3-1Final setsWagner won
OSOndrej Svacha
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1617
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wagner at 50%. The actual result was Mark Robin Wagner 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Svacha favoured — closing 1.62
Upset
Total 76.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Svacha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Svacha −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mark Robin Wagner is favoured to win, below means Ondrej Svacha.

▲ Mark Robin Wagnerpre 54% → final 9%
Ondrej Svacha ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsSvacha recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games