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07 Oct · 13:09 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MNMatyas Navedla
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1568
1-3Final setsWawrosz won
PWPavel Wawrosz
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1610
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wawrosz at 51%. The actual result was Pavel Wawrosz 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wawrosz favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 80.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wawrosz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wawrosz −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.27
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matyas Navedla is favoured to win, below means Pavel Wawrosz.

▲ Matyas Navedlapre 53% → final 0%
Pavel Wawrosz ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsWawrosz recovered from 30%68 points · 4 games