07 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1729
3-1Final setsMares won
JM
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1814
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Medek at 56%. The actual result was Erik Mares 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Josef Medek favoured — closing 1.59
Total 75.5
71 points played
Set handicap
Josef Medek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Josef Medek −4.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Josef Medek.
▲ Erik Marespre 40% → final 97%
Josef Medek ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsMares recovered from 31%69 points · 4 games