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07 Oct · 21:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LKLukas Kern
🇨🇿Lukas Kern
ELO 1524
3-2Final setsKern won
DSDavid Szotek
🇨🇿David Szotek
ELO 1468
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kern at 52%. The actual result was Lukas Kern 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukas Kern favoured — closing 1.68
Favourite won
Total 76.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukas Kern −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukas Kern −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukas Kern is favoured to win, below means David Szotek.

▲ Lukas Kernpre 56% → final 100%
David Szotek ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsKern recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games