08 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1546
3-1Final setsZmuda won
JT
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1560
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Trefny at 52%. The actual result was Petr Zmuda 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Trefny favoured — closing 1.54
Total 75.5
66 points played
Set handicap
Jan Trefny −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Trefny −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Petr Zmuda is favoured to win, below means Jan Trefny.
▲ Petr Zmudapre 44% → final 10%
Jan Trefny ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsTrefny recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games