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08 Oct · 17:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJan Szotkowski
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1723
3-1Final setsSzotkowski won
JDJan Dzida
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1736
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dzida at 51%. The actual result was Jan Szotkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Dzida favoured — closing 1.68
Upset
Total 76.5
64 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jan Dzida −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Dzida −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Szotkowski is favoured to win, below means Jan Dzida.

▲ Jan Szotkowskipre 53% → final 2%
Jan Dzida ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts72 points · 5 games