8 Oct · 23:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1506
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dousa
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Prokupek
ELO 1478
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🌟Dousa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (142)
Fair odds · Dousa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H30-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.