10 Oct · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Krok
ELO 1501
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krok
LB
🇨🇿Lukas Babicka
ELO 1486
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Krok rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (53)
Fair odds · Krok
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.