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09 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMartin Sobisek
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1583
3-1Final setsSobisek won
DTDaniel Tuma
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1518
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobisek at 52%. The actual result was Martin Sobisek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tuma favoured — closing 1.79
Upset
Total 76.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tuma −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tuma −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.27
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Sobisek is favoured to win, below means Daniel Tuma.

▲ Martin Sobisekpre 49% → final 100%
Daniel Tuma ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts67 points · 4 games