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10 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMiroslav Kowolowski
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1471
3-0Final setsKowolowski won
AVAlexandr Virag
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1486
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowolowski at 54%. The actual result was Miroslav Kowolowski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslav Kowolowski favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 74.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Miroslav Kowolowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Miroslav Kowolowski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.8
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslav Kowolowski is favoured to win, below means Alexandr Virag.

▲ Miroslav Kowolowskipre 58% → final 96%
Alexandr Virag ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts58 points · 3 games