10 Oct · 22:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1381
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kosar
VK
🇨🇿Vaclav Kosar
ELO 1534
FormWLWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kosar
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+153
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)