10 Oct · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1574
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Langer
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1641
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.