10 Oct · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1450
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krok
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Krok
ELO 1501
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Krok rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (53)
Fair odds · Krok
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 43% · 2.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H9-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.