11 Oct · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1502
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Holovatiuk
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1498
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Jungman stays under total as underdog 62% (45)
Fair odds · Holovatiuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.