10 Oct · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1465
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Langer
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1641
FormLWLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 39% · 2.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+176
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)