10 Oct · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1607
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Darin
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1450
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Darin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+157
H2H42-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)