10 Oct · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kypr
ELO 1565
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Unzeitig
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1574
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Unzeitig
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.