10 Oct · 22:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1607
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Darin
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Krok
ELO 1501
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Krok covers set handicap as underdog 64% (95)
Fair odds · Darin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+106
H2H32-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)