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09 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MVMiroslav Vaclavik
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1429
3-1Final setsVaclavik won
JGJiri Grohsgott
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1347
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vaclavik at 54%. The actual result was Miroslav Vaclavik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslav Vaclavik favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Miroslav Vaclavik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Miroslav Vaclavik −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslav Vaclavik is favoured to win, below means Jiri Grohsgott.

▲ Miroslav Vaclavikpre 58% → final 90%
Jiri Grohsgott ▼
Biggest swing 42 pts72 points · 4 games