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10 Oct · 07:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMatyas Kolek
🇨🇿Matyas Kolek
ELO 1411
2-3Final setsKowolowski won
MKMiroslav Kowolowski
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1471
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowolowski at 54%. The actual result was Miroslav Kowolowski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslav Kowolowski favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 74.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslav Kowolowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Miroslav Kowolowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
6.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matyas Kolek is favoured to win, below means Miroslav Kowolowski.

▲ Matyas Kolekpre 42% → final 5%
Miroslav Kowolowski ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsKowolowski recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games