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10 Oct · 14:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MNMatyas Navedla
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1587
2-3Final setsWawrosz won
PWPavel Wawrosz
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1633
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wawrosz at 54%. The actual result was Pavel Wawrosz 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pavel Wawrosz favoured — closing 1.79
Favourite won
Total 76.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pavel Wawrosz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pavel Wawrosz −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matyas Navedla is favoured to win, below means Pavel Wawrosz.

▲ Matyas Navedlapre 42% → final 10%
Pavel Wawrosz ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts72 points · 5 games