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10 Oct · 12:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
EMErik Mares
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1733
2-3Final setsZajicek won
JZJan Zajicek
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1735
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zajicek at 51%. The actual result was Jan Zajicek 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Zajicek favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 76.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Zajicek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Zajicek −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Jan Zajicek.

▲ Erik Marespre 53% → final 2%
Jan Zajicek ▼
Biggest swing 92 ptsZajicek recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games