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09 Oct · 17:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MHMarek Holub
🇨🇿Marek Holub
ELO 1501
3-0Final setsHolub won
ZPZbynek Pagac
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1465
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Holub at 51%. The actual result was Marek Holub 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pagac favoured — closing 1.68
Upset
Total 77.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pagac −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pagac −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 3.4
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Holub is favoured to win, below means Zbynek Pagac.

▲ Marek Holubpre 55% → final 100%
Zbynek Pagac ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts52 points · 3 games