10 Oct · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇨🇿Karel Brozhik
ELO 1520
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krejci
RK
🇨🇿Richard Krejci
ELO 1557
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Krejci
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.