10 Oct · 04:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RK
🇨🇿Richard Krejci
ELO 1561
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1581
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krejci
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.