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10 Oct · 03:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MNMartin Novak
🇨🇿Martin Novak
ELO 1501
2-3Final setsStefek won
MSMartin Stefek
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1475
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Novak at 52%. The actual result was Martin Stefek 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Stefek favoured — closing 1.53
Favourite won
Total 76.5
103 points played
Over
Set handicap
Stefek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Stefek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
6.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Novak is favoured to win, below means Martin Stefek.

▲ Martin Novakpre 56% → final 77%
Martin Stefek ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsNovak recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games