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10 Oct · 09:04 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMatyas Kolek
🇨🇿Matyas Kolek
ELO 1411
2-3Final setsVirag won
AVAlexandr Virag
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1486
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Virag at 54%. The actual result was Alexandr Virag 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Alexandr Virag favoured — closing 1.61
Favourite won
Total 75.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Alexandr Virag −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Alexandr Virag −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matyas Kolek is favoured to win, below means Alexandr Virag.

▲ Matyas Kolekpre 42% → final 100%
Alexandr Virag ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsKolek recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games