10 Oct · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PH
🇨🇿Patrik Hanel
ELO 1539
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hanel
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1499
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Hanel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.