10 Oct · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1728
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Biolek
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousek
ELO 1665
FormWWLLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dousek🌟Dousek covers set handicap as underdog 71% (127)
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H16-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.