10 Oct · 17:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1733
3-1Final setsMares won
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1735
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Zajicek at 51%. The actual result was Erik Mares 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Zajicek favoured — closing 1.8
Total 76.5
68 points played
Set handicap
Jan Zajicek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Zajicek −2.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Jan Zajicek.
▲ Erik Marespre 53% → final 2%
Jan Zajicek ▼
Biggest swing 92 ptsZajicek recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games