10 Oct · 19:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1499
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Holovatiuk
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1414
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Briza
Fair odds · Holovatiuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+85
H2H48-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.