10 Oct · 19:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Marek Bereiter
ELO 1558
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rinka
AR
🇨🇿Alfred Rinka
ELO 1559
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rinka
Fair odds · Rinka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.