10 Oct · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1401
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tyn
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tyn
ELO 1447
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Zientek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (169)
Fair odds · Tyn
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.