10 Oct · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1596
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Unzeitig
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1484
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Unzeitig
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+112
H2H13-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)