11 Oct · 11:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1739
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Opanasiuk
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1745
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Opanasiuk🌟Biolek covers set handicap as underdog 72% (86)
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H11-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.