11 Oct · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1542
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vejvoda
AB
🇨🇿Adam Brazda
ELO 1529
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brazda🌟Brazda covers set handicap as underdog 67% (90)
Fair odds · Vejvoda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.