11 Oct · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1496
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Darin
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1581
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Darin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+85
H2H8-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.