11 Oct · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PO
🇨🇿Petr Osvald
ELO 1623
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Osvald
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1574
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Osvald
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H22-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.